Methodology · How the record is built

The rules the
archive defends.

First Contact Earth is built so a journalist, researcher, or skeptic can interrogate every claim it makes. This page is that interrogation — tiering, strength scoring, convergence weighting, and the institutional principles that override any feature on the site.

01 · Source Tiers

Not all sources are equal.

Every citation in the archive is tagged with one of four tiers. The tier sets the weight in convergence scoring and the visual emphasis in the Curator.

  1. Tier 1
    Official Record

    Congressional record, ODNI / AARO / DoD / NASA / GAO releases, sworn testimony, declassified primary documents. Where the institutional record itself is the evidence.

  2. Tier 2
    Historical / Scientific

    Investigated historical cases (Roswell, Rendlesham, JAL 1628), peer-reviewed scientific surveys, and the archives of recognized research bodies.

  3. Tier 3
    Witness Testimony

    Pilot and aviator reports, first-person accounts, named eyewitnesses on the record. Treated seriously, never as proof on their own.

  4. Tier 4
    Consciousness Sources

    Channeled traditions — Bashar, Ra, Seth, Pleiadians, Kryon and others — tracked for convergence with the public record. Comparative, not evidentiary.

02 · Citation Strength

Tier says what kind of source. Strength says how reliable.

A Tier 1 source can still be contested. A Tier 4 source can still be uniquely useful when nothing else describes a pattern. Strength is assigned per citation, not per tier.

Strength · High

Multiple independent sources, on the record, with primary documents or sensor data behind them. The skeptic's burden is on the alternative explanation.

Strength · Emerging

Recent or partially corroborated. Strong enough to track, not strong enough to defend categorically. Status may move up or down as more material enters.

Strength · Contested

Single source, disputed provenance, or active disagreement between source classes. Cited so the disagreement itself is visible.

03 · Cross-Class Agreement

The signal we care about: independent source classes describing the same thing.

Witness + official + historical describing compatible facts strengthens a claim. A single class talking to itself does not. This rule decides what gets surfaced and what stays in the margins.

04 · Institutional Principles

What we will not do, regardless of pressure.

Patterns, not belief

The archive tracks where evidence converges. It does not require the reader to believe any single claim.

Cite every claim

Every factual statement in the Curator, the Forecast, and the Timeline maps to a tier and a source. No source = not stated.

Source classes are not equal

A congressional hearing and a channeled session are both worth recording. They are not worth the same weight, and the archive says so.

Measured language

Reported, documented, alleged, corroborated, contested. Never proven, never confirmed, never definitely — the record will outlive the certainty.

Visible disagreement

When witnesses, officials, and consciousness sources disagree, the archive surfaces the disagreement rather than picking a winner.

The forecast can be wrong

Forecast windows are tracked publicly so they can be evaluated against what actually happens. A wrong forecast is part of the record.

This methodology will be revised. When it is, the previous version stays linked. The record is more important than any single revision of the rules.